Material complementario para el "Seminario sobre grupos de presión y la seguridad social en América Latina", coordinado por Carmelo Mesa-Lago y organizado por el CIESS, llevado a cabo en México, D.F. en julio de 1975. Publicado en: Kassalow, Everett M. ed. "The role of social security in economic development". Washington D.C. : U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, Social Security Administration, Office of Research and Statistics, 1968. p. 51-66.

The theory - The data - The results.

This paper is intended as a contribution to the search for a quantitative basis for the juxtaposition of economic growth and social security. For various reasons, the results cannot be regarded as definitive. But at least one major conclusion emerges: Social security expenditures have quite different economic effects at different stages of economic development. At a high level of development, social security programs can be afford, but do not contribute to economic growth. At the bottom of the development scale where they cannot be afforded, their contribution to the growth process is minimal , if not negative. It is at the intermediate range, among countries that have attained self-sustaining growth, that social security expenditures appear to have the greatest potential for raising productivity.

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